Assuming the price increase across the board is roughly 33% (4/3 of current price) and assuming that bond spending changes linearly with the number of subscribed accounts: P1 = current revenue per account per month P2 = P14/3 = new revenue N1 = current number of subscribed accounts N2 = number of players after hike long term = XN1 where X is the fraction of accounts who stay subbed N2P2 < N1P1 (4/3)XN1P1 < N1P1 (4/3)*X < 1 X < 3/4 -> revenue lost X > 3/4 -> revenue gained In general if the price increases by x/y, jagex must retain roughly y/x of their player base to keep revenue the same. TLDR In the case of a 33% price increase case jagex would have to lose 25% or more of subscribed accounts in order for revenue to decrease. This does not account for minor factors such as people on grandfathered rates but this isn’t really necessary to understand that a monumental number of players will need to unsubscribe in order to ever force Jagex hand on a price increase like this. I am of the unpopular opinion that if we as a population are not willing to unsubscribe en masse without knowing whether the critical threshold of 25% will be reached, then we should stop pretending like we really care personally about the devs being paid fairly. The harsh reality is, I think people ultimately just care about their own personal entertainment and their empathy for others goes about as far as “well that sucks” and stops there. If they dropped EOC today I am sure that at least 25% or more of players would actually quit because it affects players’ bottom line (entertainment value). Hopefully this comparison highlights how much more we care about ourselves than others. In reality we are no different from the shareholders and we don’t care about the devs, we just don’t have that kind of money or else we would be just like them. I will probably eventually unsubscribe not because I care about dev pay but because a ~50% price hike over the span of 3 years is a clear sign of the beginning of the end. Pretty soon we are going to get gutted for all we’re worth just like they did when they released squeal of fortune and treasure hunter and the cycle will start anew. I cried wolf over bonds a long time ago but no one listened. I’ve learned that it’s not good for my health to assume that anything owned by private equity will last for long. It works and always has worked because ultimately humans accept it and will keep paying to fuck themselves in the ass until the very end. As for me I will just accept the inevitability of the death of OSRS and move on when it’s time and the fall is imminent. Edit: accidentally copy pasted the math twice submitted by /u/Flippius
Originally posted by u/Flippius on r/2007scape