Original Reddit post

I think people are talking past each other a bit with this vote. On one side people say Switzerland is getting too crowded. Housing is expensive, trains are full, infrastructure feels overloaded and every year it feels like we add more people without really adapting fast enough. All valid arguments. But economically: At the most basic level: GDP = Population × GDP/person More precise: GDP = Population × employment rate × hours worked per worker × productivity per hour So if you limit population growth, you also limit one of the easiest ways the economy grows. That does not mean the economy has to collapse but it means growth has to come from productivity instead or from higher employment or more working hours. Therefore if the number of people stops growing and employment and working hours stay roughly the same, then the same number of people need to produce more each year. That can happen through technology, automation, AI, better infrastructure and better education. But Switzerland is already a highly developed country. We are not starting from a low base. So productivity gains are possible but they are not something you can just assume will constantly grow at the same rate. If population growth is zero or very low and employment and working hours stay roughly constant and productivity grows by 1 percent then GDP grows by around 1 percent. If productivity does not grow and the labour force is capped too, GDP does not really grow either. And some sectors are just not easy to make more productive. A nurse can only care for so many patients. A construction worker can only build so much. Elderly care, childcare, restaurants, cleaning, healthcare and many local services still need actual people. If we cap population, where exactly is the future growth supposed to come from? Maybe people are fine with lower GDP growth. That is a valid position. But then we should be honest about the trade-off. A cap might reduce pressure in some areas over time. But it could also mean more labour shortages, more pension pressure and higher costs in sectors that already struggle to find workers. A hard cap isn‘t cost-free. A better approach would be to fix housing, build infrastructure faster and use land better. But if we cap population while keeping the same economic expectations, then productivity has to do most of the work. And I am not sure that is realistic. submitted by /u/crystalmethdoll

Originally posted by u/crystalmethdoll on r/Switzerland