The four largest Western labs have four different reasons they cannot publish a clean date. OpenAI’s next model is waiting on a security architecture, not another training run. Astra is real, and OpenAI says its latest evaluations show such large gains in agentic coding and cybersecurity that it cannot rule out critical capability . Some internal work is paused until stronger controls are in place. This is the most consequential model in the queue and the least schedulable. Meta has turned December 31 into a referendum on its AI rebuild. Watermelon, the next Muse Spark generation, is still training with vastly more compute and is supposed to arrive this year . A delay would be more than calendar slip; it would reopen the question of whether Meta’s spending and talent raid produced a frontier model. Google has two flagships in the pipe and one of them is already late. Gemini 3.5 Pro is in testing but reportedly months behind schedule, while Google says Gemini 4 is in pretraining. The likely sequence is a delayed 3.5 Pro release before any true generational jump, not the surprise Gemini 4 launch the rumor accounts want. Read the status . Anthropic’s rumor stack contains a patch, a moonshot, and a model you cannot have. Fable 5.1 has reportedly appeared in some accounts, while SemiAnalysis founder Dylan Patel theorizes that Mythos 2 has been used to train Mythos 3. Separately, Anthropic’s own risk report describes a stronger internal Model 2 that it does not plan to release. The sightings and theory are signals, not a roadmap. DeepSeek’s Quiet Takeover The most credible surprise may not come from a US lab. MiniMax could put 2.7 trillion open-weight parameters into the market before October. Reuters reports that the Chinese startup is training what may be the world’s largest open-weight model, with a release possible in the third quarter. MiniMax declined to comment, so treat the window as informed reporting rather than a promise. If it lands, the immediate story will be inference cost and deployability, not parameter bragging rights. Read the report . Z.ai says a Fable-class open model will arrive before year-end. Founder Jie Tang has publicly said his company will likely ship an open model that rivals Anthropic’s Fable before 2027. Its current GLM-5.2 already approaches leading US models on some agentic and cybersecurity tests at roughly half the cost. The next release could reset the price of frontier capability . Auto Mode Everything The physical-AI labs have the clearest dates because their claims eventually have to touch a factory floor. Nvidia has two physical-AI releases approaching from opposite directions. Cosmos 3 is meant to unify synthetic world generation, physical reasoning, and action simulation; GR00T N2 turns that stack toward robot control. Nvidia says Cosmos 3 is coming soon and GR00T N2 is slated for year-end . The important benchmark will not be video quality. It will be successful action in an unfamiliar room. Genesis has promised to put its model into customer environments before the year closes. GENE is the reasoning and control system inside Eno, a general-purpose robot designed for long-horizon industrial work. Production and targeted customer deployments are planned by year-end . This is not a fresh checkpoint release, but it may be the cleanest test of whether a world-action model can graduate from a demo reel. more : https://aiweekly.co/issues/what-ai-models-are-actually-coming-in-the-next-six-months submitted by /u/Justgototheeffinmoon
Originally posted by u/Justgototheeffinmoon on r/ArtificialInteligence
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