I’m an applied mathematician and data scientist by training so whenever I think of real world complex systems that change over time (in this case AI development), I loosely think of them in terms of differential equations. For those who don’t know about those, I think this website ( https://sites.math.duke.edu/education/postcalc/ode/ode1.html ) does a good job at demonstrating and plotting what kinds of solutions you could have at a high level. One thing that I’ve always found interesting is we assume exponential growth, but most systems have an exponential initiation. But not all systems grow exponentially in perpetuity. The most notable is the logistic curve. The one that shows promising exponential growth then plateaus almost instantly. My question is why does everyone always assume a continued, inexorable exponential growth? submitted by /u/Helloiamwhoiam
Originally posted by u/Helloiamwhoiam on r/ArtificialInteligence
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Because 99% of people have no clue what an LLM is actually doing.
Or think about real world complex systems.